Thursday, April 15, 2010

SOS sell sell sell !!!


Bob Prechter said on 13 April 2010


Bonds top in Oct 09

Gold top in Nov 09

CRB top in Jan 10

US bottom in Dec 09

Stock top in ??? Apr/May 2010?


This is the best opportunity to sell since


Year 2000; and

Year 2007


Keep cash or cash equivalent!


MyView

Sell and go away for a while, 6mths to a year. Then gradually buy when the whole world is pessimistic. This will be one of the best opportuinity.
  1. consumer spending did not improve
  2. housing is still weakening
  3. commercial property debt is due for refinancing (0.5trillion)
  4. unemployment still high
  5. debt level did not improve much, merely transfer to the public sector
  6. nothing was done on derivatives

You can figure out the rest for US stock market.

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