Saturday, May 1, 2010

SOS will it repeat?

What is the probalistic chance of this happening in May to Oct 2010? Let me just count, hmm, it has been almost 80 years since 1929, chances are low, ain't it?

What about this?
  • Do we believe if we are in the 70s thought China would be what it is today?
  • Do we believe that in 1998, when crude oil price is at USD10-15 per barrel became USD147 per barrel in 2008?

What are the odds?

Does trends always need to be linear?

Why, start researching


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